Vale S.A.

BOVESPA:VALE3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$233.2b

Vale Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Vale's earnings are forecast to decline at 5.9% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 4.5% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 8.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-5.9%

Earnings growth rate

-8.5%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth1.7%
Revenue growth rate4.5%
Future return on equity17.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Vale S.A. (BVMF:VALE3) Price Target To R$75.44

Apr 27
Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Vale S.A. (BVMF:VALE3) Price Target To R$75.44

Recent updates

Slowing Rates Of Return At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Aug 19
Slowing Rates Of Return At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Is Vale (BVMF:VALE3) A Risky Investment?

Jul 17
Is Vale (BVMF:VALE3) A Risky Investment?

Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

May 22
Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Vale S.A. (BVMF:VALE3) Price Target To R$75.44

Apr 27
Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Vale S.A. (BVMF:VALE3) Price Target To R$75.44

We Think Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Feb 07
We Think Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Little Excitement Around Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) Earnings

Jan 02
Little Excitement Around Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) Earnings

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BOVESPA:VALE3 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026246,49947,36135,07567,39318
12/31/2025240,40847,26431,31759,24320
12/31/2024235,49555,97131,16757,43917
9/30/2024211,10948,25124,98156,702N/A
6/30/2024210,09348,72930,18061,642N/A
3/31/2024206,11638,71034,27364,753N/A
12/31/2023208,06639,94036,45965,905N/A
9/30/2023206,29647,51723,55452,283N/A
6/30/2023206,41456,93927,33255,025N/A
3/31/2023213,63072,58735,30863,400N/A
12/31/2022226,50886,10630,01758,201N/A
9/30/2022237,09596,96033,23158,698N/A
6/30/2022249,433101,48960,75489,169N/A
3/31/2022281,451124,56984,349112,232N/A
12/31/2021293,524133,712109,465136,766N/A
9/30/2021296,709116,999133,655161,108N/A
6/30/2021290,197104,799116,684139,427N/A
3/31/2021243,63966,78783,680105,783N/A
12/31/2020206,09835,58853,48875,208N/A
9/30/2020170,61015,48030,62651,578N/A
6/30/2020153,3686,40722,41842,221N/A
3/31/2020148,93973429,28746,755N/A
12/31/2019144,6353,95933,46047,282N/A
9/30/2019145,07614,22233,94848,403N/A
6/30/2019142,27413,43333,94347,588N/A
3/31/2019137,50314,16235,77149,090N/A
12/31/2018134,48325,96733,90047,799N/A
9/30/2018126,85515,61836,32247,442N/A
6/30/2018117,59317,354N/A39,562N/A
3/31/2018109,72217,467N/A37,582N/A
12/31/2017108,53220,235N/A39,154N/A
9/30/2017109,35721,669N/A36,743N/A
6/30/2017102,58816,136N/A36,988N/A
3/31/2017100,80119,335N/A33,297N/A
12/31/201694,63317,470N/A21,635N/A
9/30/201679,220-20,596N/A18,235N/A
6/30/201680,739-29,215N/A16,376N/A
3/31/201680,604-27,729N/A11,999N/A
12/31/201578,057-43,553N/A15,719N/A
9/30/201585,970-15,819N/A13,380N/A
6/30/201583,250-12,537N/A14,090N/A
3/31/201583,893-14,493N/A20,284N/A
12/31/201482,6193,139N/A27,792N/A
9/30/201495,087-9,269N/A28,999N/A
6/30/2014102,6482,090N/A32,716N/A
3/31/2014102,673-288N/A33,428N/A
12/31/2013101,490119N/A32,233N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: VALE3's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.9% per year).

Earnings vs Market: VALE3's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: VALE3's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: VALE3's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the BR market (7.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: VALE3's revenue (4.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: VALE3's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:17
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Vale S.A. is covered by 62 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexander HackingAuerbach Grayson
Rodrigo FerrazBanco Brascan S.A.
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research