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- BOVESPA:CSNA3
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (BVMF:CSNA3) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (BVMF:CSNA3) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
What Is Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional had R$51.6b of debt, up from R$43.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has R$19.4b in cash leading to net debt of about R$32.2b.
How Healthy Is Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional had liabilities of R$26.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$55.5b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of R$19.4b and R$4.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling R$57.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R$11.7b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.5, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. On a lighter note, we note that Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional reported free cash flow worth 9.0% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CSNA3
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
Operates as an integrated steel producer in Brazil and Latin America.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.