Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over IRB-Brasil Resseguros S.A.'s (BVMF:IRBR3) Price

BOVESPA:IRBR3
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It's not a stretch to say that IRB-Brasil Resseguros S.A.'s (BVMF:IRBR3) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Brazil, where the median P/E ratio is around 8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, IRB-Brasil Resseguros has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for IRB-Brasil Resseguros

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:IRBR3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 11th 2025
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on IRB-Brasil Resseguros will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like IRB-Brasil Resseguros' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 184% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.5% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that IRB-Brasil Resseguros' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of IRB-Brasil Resseguros' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for IRB-Brasil Resseguros that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than IRB-Brasil Resseguros. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.