We Think Camil Alimentos (BVMF:CAML3) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Camil Alimentos S.A. (BVMF:CAML3) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Camil Alimentos
What Is Camil Alimentos's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of May 2022 Camil Alimentos had R$3.48b of debt, an increase on R$2.61b, over one year. However, it does have R$1.31b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$2.17b.
How Strong Is Camil Alimentos' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Camil Alimentos had liabilities of R$2.71b due within a year, and liabilities of R$3.11b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$1.31b as well as receivables valued at R$1.69b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$2.83b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of R$3.60b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Camil Alimentos' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Camil Alimentos's debt is 2.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.8 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. If Camil Alimentos can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 12% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Camil Alimentos's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Camil Alimentos's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Camil Alimentos's level of total liabilities and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But we do take some comfort from its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Camil Alimentos is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Camil Alimentos is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CAML3
Camil Alimentos
Engages in processing, production, packaging, and marketing of food products.
Very undervalued with solid track record.