Insufficient Growth At Minerva S.A. (BVMF:BEEF3) Hampers Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.8x Minerva S.A. (BVMF:BEEF3) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Brazil have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Minerva as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Minerva
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Minerva's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 68% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 7.7% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we are not surprised that Minerva is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Bottom Line On Minerva's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Minerva maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Minerva has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Minerva. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BOVESPA:BEEF3
Minerva
Produces and sells fresh beef, livestock, and by-products in South America and internationally.
Exceptional growth potential with adequate balance sheet.