Stock Analysis

We Think Yduqs Participações (BVMF:YDUQ3) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

BOVESPA:YDUQ3
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Yduqs Participações S.A. (BVMF:YDUQ3) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Yduqs Participações

How Much Debt Does Yduqs Participações Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Yduqs Participações had R$4.06b of debt, up from R$3.50b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of R$1.81b, its net debt is less, at about R$2.25b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:YDUQ3 Debt to Equity History April 17th 2022

How Healthy Is Yduqs Participações' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Yduqs Participações had liabilities of R$1.87b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$4.79b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$1.81b as well as receivables valued at R$1.12b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$3.72b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of R$5.22b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Yduqs Participações' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Even though Yduqs Participações's debt is only 1.8, its interest cover is really very low at 1.5. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. We saw Yduqs Participações grow its EBIT by 7.6% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yduqs Participações's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Yduqs Participações recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Yduqs Participações's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is relatively strong. We think that Yduqs Participações's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Yduqs Participações has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.