Stock Analysis

Is Yduqs Participações (BVMF:YDUQ3) Using Too Much Debt?

BOVESPA:YDUQ3
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Yduqs Participações S.A. (BVMF:YDUQ3) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Yduqs Participações

What Is Yduqs Participações's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Yduqs Participações had R$3.48b of debt, an increase on R$668.6m, over one year. However, it does have R$1.84b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$1.64b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:YDUQ3 Debt to Equity History February 10th 2021

A Look At Yduqs Participações' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yduqs Participações had liabilities of R$1.47b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$4.62b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$1.84b in cash and R$987.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$3.26b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Yduqs Participações has a market capitalization of R$10.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Yduqs Participações has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.9, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.5. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Yduqs Participações's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 24% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yduqs Participações can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Yduqs Participações generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 86% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Yduqs Participações's EBIT growth rate and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Yduqs Participações's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Yduqs Participações (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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