Stock Analysis

Does Yduqs Participações (BVMF:YDUQ3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BOVESPA:YDUQ3
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Yduqs Participações S.A. (BVMF:YDUQ3) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Yduqs Participações

What Is Yduqs Participações's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Yduqs Participações had R$4.12b of debt, an increase on R$3.71b, over one year. On the flip side, it has R$1.58b in cash leading to net debt of about R$2.54b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:YDUQ3 Debt to Equity History February 7th 2023

A Look At Yduqs Participações' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yduqs Participações had liabilities of R$1.39b due within a year, and liabilities of R$5.51b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had R$1.58b in cash and R$1.25b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$4.07b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R$2.59b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Yduqs Participações would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Even though Yduqs Participações's debt is only 1.9, its interest cover is really very low at 1.5. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Importantly, Yduqs Participações grew its EBIT by 65% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yduqs Participações can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Yduqs Participações's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Yduqs Participações's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Yduqs Participações stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Yduqs Participações , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.