Stock Analysis

We Think Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao's (BVMF:PCAR3) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

BOVESPA:PCAR3
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Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao (BVMF:PCAR3) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

See our latest analysis for Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:PCAR3 Earnings and Revenue History August 13th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao expanded the number of shares on issue by 82% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

If Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

On top of the dilution, we should also consider the R$254m impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to June 2024, Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But on the other hand, the company issued more shares, so without buying more shares each shareholder will end up with a smaller part of the profit. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you want to do dive deeper into Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao you should be mindful of and 3 of them are a bit concerning.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.