Stock Analysis

The recent R$460m market cap decrease is likely to have disappointed insiders invested in Grendene S.A. (BVMF:GRND3)

Published
BOVESPA:GRND3

Key Insights

  • Grendene's significant insider ownership suggests inherent interests in company's expansion
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 59% ownership
  • 17% of Grendene is held by Institutions

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Grendene S.A. (BVMF:GRND3), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that individual insiders own the lion's share in the company with 70% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And following last week's 8.3% decline in share price, insiders suffered the most losses.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Grendene.

View our latest analysis for Grendene

BOVESPA:GRND3 Ownership Breakdown September 21st 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Grendene?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Grendene. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Grendene's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

BOVESPA:GRND3 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 21st 2024

Grendene is not owned by hedge funds. Alexandre Grendene Bartelle is currently the largest shareholder, with 42% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 18% and 8.0%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 59% stake.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There is a little analyst coverage of the stock, but not much. So there is room for it to gain more coverage.

Insider Ownership Of Grendene

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

It seems that insiders own more than half the Grendene S.A. stock. This gives them a lot of power. So they have a R$3.6b stake in this R$5.1b business. Most would be pleased to see the board is investing alongside them. You may wish todiscover (for free) if they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 13% stake in Grendene. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Grendene (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.