Stock Analysis

Is Orizon Valorização de Resíduos (BVMF:ORVR3) Using Too Much Debt?

BOVESPA:ORVR3
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A. (BVMF:ORVR3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Orizon Valorização de Resíduos

What Is Orizon Valorização de Resíduos's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Orizon Valorização de Resíduos had R$1.14b of debt, up from R$609.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have R$263.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$881.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:ORVR3 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024

How Healthy Is Orizon Valorização de Resíduos' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Orizon Valorização de Resíduos had liabilities of R$273.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.30b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$263.4m as well as receivables valued at R$250.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$1.06b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Orizon Valorização de Resíduos has a market capitalization of R$2.91b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about Orizon Valorização de Resíduos's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.64 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Orizon Valorização de Resíduos's EBIT was down 24% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Orizon Valorização de Resíduos can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Orizon Valorização de Resíduos saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Orizon Valorização de Resíduos's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Orizon Valorização de Resíduos's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Orizon Valorização de Resíduos you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.