Stock Analysis

Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. (BVMF:AMBP3) Stock Rockets 39% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

BOVESPA:AMBP3
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Those holding Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. (BVMF:AMBP3) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 39% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 45% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Commercial Services industry in Brazil, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:AMBP3 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 27th 2024

How Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.7% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 28% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos' P/S

Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.