Tupy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Tupy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 36.5% and 8.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 36.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15% in 3 years.

Key information

36.5%

Earnings growth rate

36.6%

EPS growth rate

Machinery earnings growth	15.5%
Revenue growth rate	8.2%
Future return on equity	15.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Tupy S.A. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Nov 17

Recent updates

Industry Analysts Just Made A Captivating Upgrade To Their Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3) Revenue Forecasts

Jun 11

Is There Now An Opportunity In Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3)?

Apr 20

These Analysts Think Tupy S.A.'s (BVMF:TUPY3) Sales Are Under Threat

Apr 01

At R$25.90, Is Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3) Worth Looking At Closely?

May 11

What Kind Of Shareholders Hold The Majority In Tupy S.A.'s (BVMF:TUPY3) Shares?

Mar 17

Has Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Got What It Takes To Become A Multi-Bagger?

Feb 02

Did You Participate In Any Of Tupy's (BVMF:TUPY3) Respectable 55% Return?

Jan 06

We Think Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Dec 10

These 4 Measures Indicate That Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Jul 31

Earnings Beat: Tupy S.A. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Jul 03

Will Tupy's (BVMF:TUPY3) Growth In ROCE Persist?

Jun 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BOVESPA:TUPY3 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	12,967	689	571	813	5
12/31/2025	11,992	566	546	604	7
12/31/2024	11,041	326	347	598	7
9/30/2024	10,794	334	651	1,205	N/A
6/30/2024	11,001	433	752	1,336	N/A
3/31/2024	11,162	476	509	1,082	N/A
12/31/2023	11,368	508	259	829	N/A
9/30/2023	11,337	408	234	785	N/A
6/30/2023	11,055	453	125	656	N/A
3/31/2023	10,619	575	10	487	N/A
12/31/2022	10,178	508	-69	375	N/A
9/30/2022	9,646	514	-37	276	N/A
6/30/2022	8,786	445	-254	17	N/A
3/31/2022	7,903	295	-188	71	N/A
12/31/2021	7,083	204	91	324	N/A
9/30/2021	6,293	228	102	279	N/A
6/30/2021	5,710	231	321	464	N/A
3/31/2021	4,709	116	208	335	N/A
12/31/2020	4,258	-76	163	292	N/A
9/30/2020	4,126	-90	177	378	N/A
6/30/2020	4,215	-151	153	378	N/A
3/31/2020	4,975	-9	269	539	N/A
12/31/2019	5,164	279	293	567	N/A
9/30/2019	5,260	284	198	434	N/A
6/30/2019	5,237	306	249	478	N/A
3/31/2019	5,051	295	376	565	N/A
12/31/2018	4,828	272	409	577	N/A
9/30/2018	4,560	208	338	477	N/A
6/30/2018	4,207	195	N/A	373	N/A
3/31/2018	3,910	163	N/A	288	N/A
12/31/2017	3,706	153	N/A	260	N/A
9/30/2017	3,521	-40	N/A	270	N/A
6/30/2017	3,321	-107	N/A	164	N/A
3/31/2017	3,251	-152	N/A	192	N/A
12/31/2016	3,255	-181	N/A	280	N/A
9/30/2016	3,345	35	N/A	376	N/A
6/30/2016	3,438	87	N/A	540	N/A
3/31/2016	3,499	177	N/A	519	N/A
12/31/2015	3,427	220	N/A	491	N/A
9/30/2015	3,301	192	N/A	379	N/A
6/30/2015	3,250	158	N/A	266	N/A
3/31/2015	3,098	120	N/A	253	N/A
12/31/2014	3,115	89	N/A	301	N/A
9/30/2014	3,149	96	N/A	358	N/A
6/30/2014	3,187	109	N/A	442	N/A
3/31/2014	3,226	97	N/A	446	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TUPY3's forecast earnings growth (36.5% per year) is above the savings rate (10.4%).

Earnings vs Market: TUPY3's earnings (36.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the BR market (12.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TUPY3's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TUPY3's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the BR market (7.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TUPY3's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TUPY3's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/03 16:04
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tupy S.A. is covered by 13 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Rogerio Araujo	BofA Global Research
Victor Mizusaki	Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários
Lucas Marquiori	BTG Pactual

Tupy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Tupy S.A. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to R$30.43

Price target increased to R$30.23

Recent updates

Upcoming dividend of R$1.14 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Tupy's (BVMF:TUPY3) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Tupy S.A. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Now 25% undervalued after recent price drop

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: R$0.12 (vs R$0.42 in 2Q 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Upcoming dividend of R$0.15 per share

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

We Think Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Tupy S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2024

Tupy S.A. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Mar 20, 2024

Tupy S.A. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 13, 2024

Upcoming dividend of R$0.22 per share at 4.5% yield

Now 20% undervalued

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of R$0.22 per share at 3.6% yield

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3)

Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of R$0.24 per share at 4.0% yield

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Tupy S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2023

Consensus forecasts updated

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of R$0.19 per share

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to R$30.43

Price target increased to R$30.23

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Is It Time To Consider Buying Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3)?

Does Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Industry Analysts Just Made A Captivating Upgrade To Their Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3) Revenue Forecasts

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 11%

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Less than half of directors are independent

Tupy S.A. (BOVESPA:TUPY3) agreed to acquire Caterpillar Energy Solutions GmbH from Navistar International Corporation.

Is There Now An Opportunity In Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3)?

Tupy S.A. (BOVESPA:TUPY3) agreed to acquire Caterpillar Energy Solutions GmbH.

These Analysts Think Tupy S.A.'s (BVMF:TUPY3) Sales Are Under Threat

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Tupy S.A. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Mar 29, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS R$0.87 (vs R$0.89 in 3Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of R$0.12 per share

Tupy S.A. (BOVESPA:TUPY3) entered into a revised agreement to acquire Brazilian and Portuguese Cast Iron Components Operations of Teksid S.p.A for an enterprise value of €67.5 million.

Consensus forecasts updated

At R$25.90, Is Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3) Worth Looking At Closely?

First quarter 2021 earnings released: R$0.10 loss per share (vs R$1.44 loss in 1Q 2020)

What Kind Of Shareholders Hold The Majority In Tupy S.A.'s (BVMF:TUPY3) Shares?

Revenue misses expectations

Full year 2020 earnings released: R$0.53 loss per share (vs R$1.94 profit in FY 2019)

Tupy S.A. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Mar 04, 2021

New 90-day low: R$20.40

Has Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Got What It Takes To Become A Multi-Bagger?

New 90-day high: R$23.00

Did You Participate In Any Of Tupy's (BVMF:TUPY3) Respectable 55% Return?

We Think Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

New 90-day high: R$22.10

Third quarter earnings released

Third-quarter earnings released: Revenue beats expectations

New 90-day high: R$18.67

Tupy S.A. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 28, 2020

New 90-day low - R$16.12

First half earnings released

These 4 Measures Indicate That Tupy (BVMF:TUPY3) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well