Tupy Valuation

Is TUPY3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TUPY3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TUPY3 (R$26.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$32.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TUPY3 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TUPY3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TUPY3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.9x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TUPY3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TUPY3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
RAPT4 Randon Implementos e Participações
9.5x22.4%R$3.4b
POMO4 Marcopolo
9.6x13.7%R$7.2b
MYPK3 Iochpe-Maxion
60.8x56.6%R$1.9b
SHUL4 Schulz
8xn/aR$2.2b
TUPY3 Tupy
7.5x12.4%R$3.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TUPY3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TUPY3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TUPY3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the Global Machinery industry average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TUPY3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TUPY3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TUPY3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TUPY3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$26.32
R$31.50
+19.7%
7.7%R$35.50R$29.00n/a7
Apr ’25R$27.65
R$31.36
+13.4%
7.6%R$35.50R$29.00n/a7
Mar ’25R$25.69
R$31.94
+24.3%
7.7%R$35.50R$29.00n/a8
Feb ’25R$25.94
R$31.94
+23.1%
7.7%R$35.50R$29.00n/a8
Jan ’25R$29.08
R$32.63
+12.2%
10.0%R$37.00R$27.00n/a8
Dec ’24R$26.12
R$32.88
+25.9%
10.0%R$37.00R$27.00n/a8
Nov ’24R$24.12
R$33.44
+38.7%
10.5%R$38.00R$27.00n/a9
Oct ’24R$27.19
R$33.89
+24.6%
12.7%R$40.00R$26.00n/a9
Sep ’24R$26.50
R$33.89
+27.9%
12.7%R$40.00R$26.00n/a9
Aug ’24R$27.00
R$34.11
+26.3%
12.8%R$40.00R$26.00n/a9
Jul ’24R$26.22
R$34.44
+31.4%
11.8%R$40.00R$26.00n/a9
Jun ’24R$25.26
R$34.44
+36.4%
11.8%R$40.00R$26.00n/a9
May ’24R$22.30
R$34.40
+54.3%
11.9%R$40.00R$25.00n/a10
Apr ’24R$24.22
R$34.33
+41.8%
10.8%R$40.00R$27.00R$27.659
Mar ’24R$26.87
R$34.78
+29.4%
10.6%R$40.00R$27.00R$25.6910
Feb ’24R$27.23
R$34.58
+27.0%
11.1%R$40.00R$28.00R$25.9410
Jan ’24R$27.35
R$34.48
+26.1%
9.8%R$38.00R$28.00R$29.0810
Dec ’23R$29.06
R$33.38
+14.9%
11.4%R$38.00R$27.00R$26.1210
Nov ’23R$29.76
R$32.13
+8.0%
14.7%R$38.00R$22.80R$24.1210
Oct ’23R$25.10
R$31.83
+26.8%
14.1%R$38.00R$22.80R$27.1910
Sep ’23R$27.40
R$30.43
+11.1%
17.4%R$38.00R$21.60R$26.509
Aug ’23R$22.69
R$29.27
+29.0%
16.0%R$35.00R$21.60R$27.009
Jul ’23R$22.00
R$27.49
+24.9%
16.7%R$34.00R$21.00R$26.229
Jun ’23R$23.47
R$26.66
+13.6%
17.2%R$34.00R$21.00R$25.267
May ’23R$20.46
R$26.66
+30.3%
17.2%R$34.00R$21.00R$22.307
Apr ’23R$17.70
R$26.66
+50.6%
15.4%R$34.00R$21.00R$24.227

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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