Stock Analysis

Is Kepler Weber S.A.'s (BVMF:KEPL3) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

BOVESPA:KEPL3
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Most readers would already be aware that Kepler Weber's (BVMF:KEPL3) stock increased significantly by 12% over the past week. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Kepler Weber's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

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How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kepler Weber is:

24% = R$173m ÷ R$714m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.24.

View our latest analysis for Kepler Weber

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Kepler Weber's Earnings Growth And 24% ROE

To begin with, Kepler Weber seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 18%. This certainly adds some context to Kepler Weber's exceptional 23% net income growth seen over the past five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Kepler Weber's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 17% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:KEPL3 Past Earnings Growth May 28th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for KEPL3? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Kepler Weber Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Kepler Weber has a three-year median payout ratio of 42% (where it is retaining 58% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Kepler Weber is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Additionally, Kepler Weber has paid dividends over a period of nine years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 60% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Kepler Weber's performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BOVESPA:KEPL3

Kepler Weber

Provides storage equipment and post-harvest grain solutions in Brazil, Central and South America, Africa, and Asia.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.

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