Stock Analysis

We Like The Quality Of Iochpe-Maxion's (BVMF:MYPK3) Earnings

BOVESPA:MYPK3
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Shareholders appeared to be happy with Iochpe-Maxion S.A.'s (BVMF:MYPK3) solid earnings report last week. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Iochpe-Maxion

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:MYPK3 Earnings and Revenue History November 14th 2024

A Closer Look At Iochpe-Maxion's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Iochpe-Maxion recorded an accrual ratio of -0.15. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of R$1.4b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of R$188.9m. Iochpe-Maxion did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Iochpe-Maxion's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Iochpe-Maxion has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Iochpe-Maxion's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And it's also positive that the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Iochpe-Maxion as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Iochpe-Maxion has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Iochpe-Maxion's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.