Stock Analysis

Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD's (BUL:TPLR) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

BUL:TPLR
Source: Shutterstock

Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD's (BUL:TPLR) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

See our latest analysis for Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD

earnings-and-revenue-history
BUL:TPLR Earnings and Revenue History March 6th 2023

An Unusual Tax Situation

Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD reported a tax benefit of лв4.3m, which is well worth noting. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. And given that it lost money last year, it seems possible that the benefit is evidence that it now expects to find value in its past tax losses. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD.

Our Take On Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD's Profit Performance

As we have already discussed Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paying tax, in the last year. Given that sort of benefit is not recurring, a focus on the statutory profit might make the company seem better than it really is. Because of this, we think that it may be that Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Toplofikatsia Ruse EAD's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Toplofikatsia-Ruse AD might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.