Stock Analysis

Petrol AD (BUL:PET) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 28%

BUL:PET
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Petrol AD (BUL:PET) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Regardless, last month's decline is barely a blip on the stock's price chart as it has gained a monstrous 314% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Petrol AD may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x, since almost half of all companies in Bulgaria have P/E ratios greater than 13x and even P/E's higher than 36x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

For example, consider that Petrol AD's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Petrol AD

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BUL:PET Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 18th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Petrol AD will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Petrol AD would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 71%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Petrol AD's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Petrol AD's P/E?

Shares in Petrol AD have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Petrol AD maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Petrol AD (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.