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MercadoLibre Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of MLB1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

MLB1 (€1708.9) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (€540.78)

Is MLB1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MLB1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MLB1 (€1708.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€540.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MLB1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MLB1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for MLB1. This is calculated by dividing MLB1's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is MLB1's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$94.28b

MLB1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	5.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	31.8x
PEG Ratio	2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MLB1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MLB1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	25.6x
PRX Prosus	15.6x	2.7%	€95.8b
PDD PDD Holdings	13.3x	17.3%	US$188.0b
WES Wesfarmers	31.4x	8.3%	AU$80.2b
CPNG Coupang	42.3x	28.1%	US$44.7b
MLB1 MercadoLibre	67.4x	23.4%	€94.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MLB1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67.4x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MLB1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	0%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

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0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
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Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MLB1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67.4x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MLB1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MLB1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	67.4x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MLB1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MLB1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	€1,889.66 0%	8.8%	€2,269.45	€1,509.92	n/a	22
Sep ’25	n/a	€1,889.66 0%	8.8%	€2,269.45	€1,509.92	n/a	22
Aug ’25	€1,542.90	€1,832.05 +18.7%	7.5%	€2,020.92	€1,377.90	n/a	22
Jul ’25	€1,478.60	€1,843.09 +24.7%	7.6%	€2,119.05	€1,400.25	n/a	22
Jun ’25	€1,560.10	€1,816.45 +16.4%	7.8%	€2,089.99	€1,381.05	n/a	23
May ’25	€1,361.00	€1,792.93 +31.7%	10.1%	€2,018.30	€1,308.16	n/a	24
Apr ’25	€1,404.90	€1,822.48 +29.7%	8.6%	€2,001.65	€1,303.40	n/a	24
Mar ’25	€1,469.90	€1,804.43 +22.8%	9.5%	€2,030.16	€1,291.92	n/a	24
Feb ’25	€1,604.50	€1,704.44 +6.2%	10.6%	€2,024.00	€1,223.60	n/a	23
Jan ’25	€1,440.00	€1,580.30 +9.7%	11.7%	€1,909.06	€1,197.67	n/a	23
Dec ’24	€1,493.80	€1,561.08 +4.5%	12.1%	€1,929.84	€1,210.70	n/a	24
Nov ’24	€1,176.60	€1,527.83 +29.9%	13.7%	€2,034.55	€1,192.34	n/a	24
Oct ’24	€1,220.00	€1,510.98 +23.9%	13.1%	€2,040.26	€1,179.23	n/a	23
Sep ’24	€1,298.80	€1,500.28 +15.5%	13.0%	€2,023.69	€1,169.66	n/a	24
Aug ’24	€1,105.10	€1,396.21 +26.3%	11.1%	€1,736.95	€1,136.75	€1,542.90	22
Jul ’24	€1,090.10	€1,437.34 +31.9%	9.4%	€1,661.76	€1,147.63	€1,478.60	21
Jun ’24	€1,149.30	€1,450.02 +26.2%	9.9%	€1,680.40	€1,160.50	€1,560.10	21
May ’24	€1,134.40	€1,329.24 +17.2%	14.7%	€1,606.28	€726.00	€1,361.00	22
Apr ’24	€1,208.90	€1,292.20 +6.9%	14.4%	€1,622.91	€733.52	€1,404.90	22
Mar ’24	€1,137.30	€1,295.79 +13.9%	14.8%	€1,641.33	€750.32	€1,469.90	22
Feb ’24	€1,071.50	€1,163.16 +8.6%	13.7%	€1,424.45	€735.20	€1,604.50	22
Jan ’24	€799.90	€1,190.65 +48.8%	12.7%	€1,459.95	€753.52	€1,440.00	22
Dec ’23	€902.55	€1,240.21 +37.4%	14.7%	€1,586.31	€769.12	€1,493.80	22
Nov ’23	n/a	€1,310.80 0%	15.1%	€1,670.13	€809.76	€1,176.60	23
Oct ’23	n/a	€1,328.11 0%	15.0%	€1,674.75	€812.00	€1,220.00	23
Sep ’23	n/a	€1,296.94 0%	15.2%	€1,635.15	€792.80	€1,298.80	25

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.