Here's Why Zaharni Zavodi AD (BUL:ZHZA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Zaharni Zavodi AD (BUL:ZHZA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Zaharni Zavodi AD
What Is Zaharni Zavodi AD's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Zaharni Zavodi AD had лв55.8m of debt, an increase on лв44.7m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
A Look At Zaharni Zavodi AD's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zaharni Zavodi AD had liabilities of лв44.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of лв25.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of лв73.0k and лв7.38m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total лв62.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's лв43.3m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With net debt to EBITDA of 4.1 Zaharni Zavodi AD has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. But the high interest coverage of 7.5 suggests it can easily service that debt. Pleasingly, Zaharni Zavodi AD is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 142% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zaharni Zavodi AD will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Zaharni Zavodi AD actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Both Zaharni Zavodi AD's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its level of total liabilities had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Zaharni Zavodi AD's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Zaharni Zavodi AD (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BUL:ZHZA
Zaharni Zavodi AD
Zaharni Zavodi AD manufactures and sells sugar, confectionery products, and ethyl alcohol in Bulgaria.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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