Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Gradus AD (BUL:GR6) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Gradus AD's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2024 Gradus AD had debt of лв20.5m, up from лв15.2m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of лв6.06m, its net debt is less, at about лв14.4m.
How Healthy Is Gradus AD's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Gradus AD had liabilities of лв14.8m due within a year, and liabilities of лв32.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of лв6.06m and лв27.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by лв13.8m.
Since publicly traded Gradus AD shares are worth a total of лв237.9m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
View our latest analysis for Gradus AD
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Gradus AD's net debt is only 0.26 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 902 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Although Gradus AD made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated лв47m in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Gradus AD will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot .
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. In the last year, Gradus AD created free cash flow amounting to 14% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
Gradus AD's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Gradus AD is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Gradus AD (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BUL:GR6
Gradus AD
Produces and sells poultry products in Bulgaria, Europe, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.
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