Does Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's (BUL:NGAZ) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 15, 2022
BUL:NGAZ
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Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD (BUL:NGAZ) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 94% over the last three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD is:

1.0% = лв905k ÷ лв89m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every BGN1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn BGN0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's Earnings Growth And 1.0% ROE

It is hard to argue that Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 13%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's five year net income decline of 32% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

So, as a next step, we compared Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 5.2% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BUL:NGAZ Past Earnings Growth May 15th 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 93% (implying that 6.9% of the profits are retained), most of Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely. To know the 5 risks we have identified for Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD visit our risks dashboard for free.

Moreover, Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD has been paying dividends for eight years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Oil and Gas Exploration and Production AD's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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