Stock Analysis

Trace Group Hold (BUL:T57) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

BUL:T57
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Trace Group Hold PLC (BUL:T57) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Trace Group Hold

What Is Trace Group Hold's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Trace Group Hold had лв4.09m of debt in September 2021, down from лв16.6m, one year before. However, it does have лв46.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of лв42.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BUL:T57 Debt to Equity History February 1st 2022

How Healthy Is Trace Group Hold's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Trace Group Hold had liabilities of лв90.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of лв13.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of лв46.6m as well as receivables valued at лв79.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast лв22.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Trace Group Hold has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Trace Group Hold boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Trace Group Hold's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 73% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Trace Group Hold's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Trace Group Hold has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Trace Group Hold actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Trace Group Hold has net cash of лв42.5m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of лв22m, being 124% of its EBIT. So is Trace Group Hold's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Trace Group Hold you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.