Stock Analysis

Here's Why Elia Group (EBR:ELI) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Elia Group SA/NV (EBR:ELI) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Elia Group's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2025, Elia Group had €16.1b of debt, up from €12.5b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €4.97b, its net debt is less, at about €11.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTBR:ELI Debt to Equity History July 27th 2025

How Strong Is Elia Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Elia Group had liabilities of €4.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €16.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €4.97b as well as receivables valued at €892.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €14.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge €11.3b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

See our latest analysis for Elia Group

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Elia Group's debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8 suggests a heavy debt load, its interest coverage of 7.1 implies it services that debt with ease. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Pleasingly, Elia Group is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 134% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Elia Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Elia Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Elia Group's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Elia Group commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Elia Group's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Elia Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Elia Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTBR:ELI

Elia Group

Develops and operates as a transmission system operator in Belgium and Germany.

Proven track record with moderate growth potential.

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