Elia Group Valuation

Is ELI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ELI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ELI (€94.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€48.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ELI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ELI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ELI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.3x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ELI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ELI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.7x
MER Manila Electric
10.5x-3.5%₱399.0b
EQTL3 Equatorial Energia
17.5x24.0%R$36.3b
BKW BKW
15.5x6.2%CHF7.4b
ANA Acciona
11.1x-9.9%€6.0b
ELI Elia Group
21.5x18.2%€7.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ELI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ELI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ELI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ELI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ELI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ELI's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ELI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€93.95
€123.23
+31.2%
11.2%€141.00€94.30n/a10
Apr ’25€100.00
€123.37
+23.4%
10.8%€141.00€94.30n/a9
Mar ’25€102.30
€123.61
+20.8%
13.1%€149.00€94.30n/a7
Feb ’25€110.70
€125.79
+13.6%
12.9%€149.00€94.30n/a8
Jan ’25€113.30
€119.76
+5.7%
13.9%€141.00€94.30n/a7
Dec ’24€99.35
€118.33
+19.1%
14.2%€141.00€94.30n/a7
Nov ’24€89.70
€119.47
+33.2%
14.6%€141.00€94.30n/a7
Oct ’24€92.65
€125.96
+35.9%
10.4%€141.00€106.00n/a7
Sep ’24€105.40
€129.28
+22.7%
8.5%€141.00€112.00n/a6
Aug ’24€108.80
€129.28
+18.8%
8.5%€141.00€112.00n/a6
Jul ’24€116.30
€124.18
+6.8%
10.4%€140.00€111.00n/a4
Jun ’24€114.50
€129.57
+13.2%
8.2%€140.00€115.00n/a3
May ’24€124.40
€129.57
+4.2%
8.2%€140.00€115.00n/a3
Apr ’24€121.60
€129.57
+6.6%
8.2%€140.00€115.00€100.003
Mar ’24€120.60
€129.57
+7.4%
8.2%€140.00€115.00€102.303
Feb ’24€130.00
€129.57
-0.3%
8.2%€140.00€115.00€110.703
Jan ’24€132.80
€124.35
-6.4%
7.5%€133.70€115.00€113.302
Dec ’23€138.80
€117.50
-15.3%
2.1%€120.00€115.00€99.352
Nov ’23€128.40
€117.24
-8.7%
2.3%€120.00€114.49€89.702
Oct ’23€120.40
€111.99
-7.0%
2.2%€114.49€109.50€92.652
Sep ’23€144.10
€111.99
-22.3%
2.2%€114.49€109.50€105.402
Aug ’23€147.70
€111.99
-24.2%
2.2%€114.49€109.50€108.802
Jul ’23€141.00
€111.99
-20.6%
2.2%€114.49€109.50€116.302
Jun ’23€150.60
€123.83
-17.8%
8.2%€131.00€109.50€114.503
May ’23€151.70
€123.83
-18.4%
8.2%€131.00€109.50€124.403
Apr ’23€139.40
€123.83
-11.2%
8.2%€131.00€109.50€121.603

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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