When Should You Buy Barco NV (EBR:BAR)?

Barco NV (EBR:BAR), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ENXTBR over the last few months, increasing to €20.18 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €17.69. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Barco's current trading price of €19.18 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Barco’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Barco

What is Barco worth?

Barco appears to be overvalued by 30% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €19.18 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of €14.72. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Barco’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Barco generate?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. In Barco's case, its revenues over the next few years are expected to grow by 57%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. If expense does not increase by the same rate, or higher, this top line growth should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in BAR’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe BAR should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BAR for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for BAR, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Barco has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Barco, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.