Stock Analysis

Fluxys Belgium's (EBR:FLUX) Earnings Seem To Be Promising

ENXTBR:FLUX
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Fluxys Belgium SA's (EBR:FLUX) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

See our latest analysis for Fluxys Belgium

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTBR:FLUX Earnings and Revenue History October 7th 2024

Zooming In On Fluxys Belgium's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Fluxys Belgium recorded an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of €350m, well over the €84.0m it reported in profit. Fluxys Belgium did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Fluxys Belgium.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Surprisingly, given Fluxys Belgium's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by €11m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Fluxys Belgium doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Fluxys Belgium's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Fluxys Belgium's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. After taking into account all these factors, we think that Fluxys Belgium's statutory results are a decent reflection of its underlying earnings power. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Fluxys Belgium, and understanding these bad boys should be part of your investment process.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.