Stock Analysis

Slammed 28% Vonex Limited (ASX:VN8) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

ASX:VN8
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The Vonex Limited (ASX:VN8) share price has softened a substantial 28% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 76% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in Australia's Telecom industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider Vonex as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Vonex

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:VN8 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

What Does Vonex's Recent Performance Look Like?

Vonex certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Vonex will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Vonex?

Vonex's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 35% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 256% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 6.2% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Vonex's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Vonex's P/S

Vonex's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We're very surprised to see Vonex currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Vonex has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Vonex, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.