Stock Analysis

Swoop Holdings Limited's (ASX:SWP) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

ASX:SWP
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Telecom industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, Swoop Holdings Limited (ASX:SWP) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Swoop Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SWP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 29th 2024

What Does Swoop Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Swoop Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Swoop Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Swoop Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Swoop Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 51% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.2% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.9% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Swoop Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Swoop Holdings' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Swoop Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Swoop Holdings (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Swoop Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Swoop Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.