Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Flexiroam Limited's (ASX:FRX) Revenues Pushing Shares 33% Lower

ASX:FRX
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Flexiroam Limited (ASX:FRX) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Flexiroam's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Australia's Telecom industry is similar at about 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Flexiroam

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:FRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 22nd 2024

How Flexiroam Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Flexiroam as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Flexiroam.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Flexiroam's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 38%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 63% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.3% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Flexiroam's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Following Flexiroam's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Flexiroam currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Flexiroam you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.