Stock Analysis
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (ASX:SMN) Stock Rockets 25% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Those holding Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (ASX:SMN) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 25% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Australia's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Structural Monitoring Systems as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Structural Monitoring Systems
What Does Structural Monitoring Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?
Structural Monitoring Systems certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Structural Monitoring Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Structural Monitoring Systems' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 82% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 14% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Structural Monitoring Systems' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Structural Monitoring Systems' P/S
Structural Monitoring Systems' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Structural Monitoring Systems currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Structural Monitoring Systems that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:SMN
Structural Monitoring Systems
Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells structural health monitoring systems for the aviation industry in Australia, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Australasia, and Africa.