Bravura Solutions Limited

CHIA:BVS Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$932.5m

Bravura Solutions Valuation

Is BVS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BVS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BVS (A$2.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BVS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BVS?

Key metric: As BVS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BVS. This is calculated by dividing BVS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BVS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio106.2x
EarningsAU$8.78m
Market CapAU$932.46m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BVS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BVS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average65.4x
HSN Hansen Technologies
51.2x22.2%AU$1.1b
IRE Iress
86x29.1%AU$1.7b
OCL Objective
49.9x6.5%AU$1.6b
RUL RPMGlobal Holdings
74.5x22.6%AU$644.5m
BVS Bravura Solutions
106.2x5.6%AU$932.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BVS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.2x) compared to the peer average (65.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BVS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Software Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IRI Integrated Research
3.6x-20.4%US$60.45m
No more companies available in this PE range
BVS 106.2xIndustry Avg. 68.4xNo. of Companies2PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BVS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.2x) compared to the Australian Software industry average (68.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BVS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BVS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio106.2x
Fair PE Ratio39.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BVS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BVS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.08
AU$1.95
-6.0%
8.3%AU$2.10AU$1.66n/a5
Dec ’25AU$1.55
AU$1.50
-3.2%
10.4%AU$1.70AU$1.32n/a5
Nov ’25AU$1.54
AU$1.50
-2.4%
10.4%AU$1.70AU$1.32n/a5
Oct ’25AU$1.43
AU$1.35
-5.7%
27.3%AU$1.70AU$0.59n/a6
Sep ’25AU$1.32
AU$1.35
+2.6%
27.3%AU$1.70AU$0.59n/a6
Aug ’25AU$1.17
AU$1.29
+10.2%
27.9%AU$1.70AU$0.59n/a6
Jul ’25AU$1.05
AU$1.31
+25.2%
28.3%AU$1.70AU$0.59n/a6
Jun ’25AU$1.14
AU$1.31
+14.7%
28.3%AU$1.70AU$0.59n/a6
May ’25AU$1.41
AU$1.31
-6.9%
28.3%AU$1.70AU$0.59n/a6
Apr ’25AU$1.42
AU$1.31
-7.6%
28.3%AU$1.70AU$0.59n/a6
Mar ’25AU$1.29
AU$1.45
+13.0%
13.8%AU$1.70AU$1.15n/a5
Feb ’25AU$0.81
AU$0.85
+5.3%
13.1%AU$1.00AU$0.69n/a5
Jan ’25AU$0.85
AU$0.85
-0.2%
13.1%AU$1.00AU$0.69n/a5
Dec ’24AU$0.74
AU$0.82
+10.3%
11.5%AU$0.95AU$0.69AU$1.554
Nov ’24AU$0.68
AU$0.69
+2.8%
4.6%AU$0.74AU$0.65AU$1.544
Oct ’24AU$0.73
AU$0.69
-4.9%
4.6%AU$0.74AU$0.65AU$1.434
Sep ’24AU$0.77
AU$0.69
-9.3%
4.6%AU$0.74AU$0.65AU$1.324
Aug ’24AU$0.51
AU$0.49
-3.4%
17.5%AU$0.60AU$0.35AU$1.175
Jul ’24AU$0.48
AU$0.49
+1.6%
17.5%AU$0.60AU$0.35AU$1.055
Jun ’24AU$0.46
AU$0.49
+6.4%
19.5%AU$0.60AU$0.35AU$1.144
May ’24AU$0.45
AU$0.49
+8.8%
19.5%AU$0.60AU$0.35AU$1.414
Apr ’24AU$0.41
AU$0.49
+20.9%
19.5%AU$0.60AU$0.35AU$1.424
Mar ’24AU$0.85
AU$1.00
+17.5%
36.8%AU$1.74AU$0.53AU$1.297
Feb ’24AU$0.85
AU$1.00
+16.8%
36.8%AU$1.74AU$0.53AU$0.817
Jan ’24AU$0.89
AU$0.98
+11.2%
38.1%AU$1.74AU$0.53AU$0.857
Dec ’23AU$0.80
AU$0.98
+23.8%
38.1%AU$1.74AU$0.53AU$0.747

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 00:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bravura Solutions Limited is covered by 10 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Moira DawAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Bob ChenJ.P. Morgan