Hansen Technologies Limited

ASX:HSN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$942.2m

Hansen Technologies Valuation

Is HSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HSN (A$4.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$7.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HSN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HSN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.8x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55x
OCL Objective
43.5x11.0%AU$1.2b
IFM Infomedia
61.3x27.8%AU$615.1m
RUL RPMGlobal Holdings
58.6x17.3%AU$566.4m
DUG DUG Technology
56.8x43.5%AU$333.1m
HSN Hansen Technologies
21.4x13.0%AU$942.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (55x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the Australian Software industry average (62.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.4x
Fair PE Ratio34.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.66
AU$5.90
+26.7%
17.4%AU$7.00AU$3.85n/a8
May ’25AU$4.70
AU$5.90
+25.6%
17.4%AU$7.00AU$3.85n/a8
Apr ’25AU$4.87
AU$5.90
+21.2%
17.4%AU$7.00AU$3.85n/a8
Mar ’25AU$4.85
AU$5.98
+23.3%
18.0%AU$7.00AU$3.85n/a7
Feb ’25AU$5.18
AU$6.11
+18.0%
15.0%AU$6.80AU$3.85n/a8
Jan ’25AU$5.09
AU$6.11
+20.1%
15.0%AU$6.80AU$3.85n/a8
Dec ’24AU$5.34
AU$6.11
+14.5%
15.0%AU$6.80AU$3.85n/a8
Nov ’24AU$5.17
AU$6.44
+24.5%
5.5%AU$6.80AU$5.75n/a7
Oct ’24AU$5.29
AU$6.46
+22.2%
6.0%AU$7.00AU$5.75n/a7
Sep ’24AU$5.50
AU$6.46
+17.5%
6.0%AU$7.00AU$5.75n/a7
Aug ’24AU$5.15
AU$5.91
+14.7%
7.1%AU$6.50AU$5.20n/a7
Jul ’24AU$5.17
AU$5.81
+12.3%
8.2%AU$6.50AU$5.10n/a8
Jun ’24AU$4.87
AU$5.63
+15.5%
7.1%AU$6.20AU$5.10n/a6
May ’24AU$4.56
AU$5.63
+23.4%
7.1%AU$6.20AU$5.10AU$4.706
Apr ’24AU$4.62
AU$5.72
+23.8%
7.1%AU$6.20AU$5.10AU$4.877
Mar ’24AU$4.46
AU$5.72
+28.3%
7.1%AU$6.20AU$5.10AU$4.857
Feb ’24AU$5.26
AU$5.81
+10.5%
8.3%AU$6.40AU$5.03AU$5.187
Jan ’24AU$5.14
AU$5.73
+11.5%
8.3%AU$6.40AU$5.03AU$5.096
Dec ’23AU$5.08
AU$5.73
+12.8%
8.3%AU$6.40AU$5.03AU$5.346
Nov ’23AU$4.97
AU$5.73
+15.3%
8.3%AU$6.40AU$5.03AU$5.176
Oct ’23AU$4.45
AU$5.73
+28.7%
9.1%AU$6.40AU$5.03AU$5.295
Sep ’23AU$4.82
AU$5.83
+21.0%
9.1%AU$6.40AU$5.03AU$5.504
Aug ’23AU$5.71
AU$5.85
+2.4%
10.4%AU$6.50AU$4.88AU$5.154
Jul ’23AU$5.14
AU$5.85
+13.7%
10.2%AU$6.50AU$4.88AU$5.174
Jun ’23AU$5.19
AU$6.17
+18.8%
3.8%AU$6.50AU$6.00AU$4.873
May ’23AU$5.48
AU$6.17
+12.5%
3.8%AU$6.50AU$6.00AU$4.563

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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