Stock Analysis

Credit Clear Limited (ASX:CCR) Stock Rockets 38% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

ASX:CCR
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Credit Clear Limited (ASX:CCR) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 38% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Credit Clear's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Australia's Software industry is similar at about 2.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Credit Clear

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:CCR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

How Credit Clear Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Credit Clear as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. Those who are bullish on Credit Clear will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Credit Clear's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Credit Clear's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 68% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Credit Clear is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Credit Clear's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Credit Clear's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Credit Clear currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Credit Clear (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Credit Clear is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.