Stock Analysis

Bravura Solutions Limited (ASX:BVS) Stock Goes Ex-Dividend In Just Two Days

ASX:BVS
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Bravura Solutions Limited (ASX:BVS) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 2 days. You can purchase shares before the 3rd of March in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 26th of March.

Bravura Solutions's upcoming dividend is AU$0.026 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of AU$0.081 per share to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Bravura Solutions has a trailing yield of 3.0% on the current share price of A$2.73. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Bravura Solutions

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Bravura Solutions paid out more than half (68%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the last year, it paid out dividends equivalent to 203% of what it generated in free cash flow, a disturbingly high percentage. Our definition of free cash flow excludes cash generated from asset sales, so since Bravura Solutions is paying out such a high percentage of its cash flow, it might be worth seeing if it sold assets or had similar events that might have led to such a high dividend payment.

Bravura Solutions paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Bravura Solutions to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
ASX:BVS Historic Dividend February 28th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. That's why it's comforting to see Bravura Solutions's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 35% per annum for the past five years. Earnings have been growing quickly, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

We'd also point out that Bravura Solutions issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. Trying to grow the dividend while issuing large amounts of new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, four years ago, Bravura Solutions has lifted its dividend by approximately 16% a year on average. It's exciting to see that both earnings and dividends per share have grown rapidly over the past few years.

To Sum It Up

Should investors buy Bravura Solutions for the upcoming dividend? Earnings per share growth is a positive, and the company's payout ratio looks normal. However, we note Bravura Solutions paid out a much higher percentage of its free cash flow, which makes us uncomfortable. To summarise, Bravura Solutions looks okay on this analysis, although it doesn't appear a stand-out opportunity.

With that being said, if dividends aren't your biggest concern with Bravura Solutions, you should know about the other risks facing this business. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Bravura Solutions that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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