Stock Analysis

Atturra's (ASX:ATA) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

ASX:ATA
Source: Shutterstock

Atturra Limited's (ASX:ATA) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

View our latest analysis for Atturra

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:ATA Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2023

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Atturra expanded the number of shares on issue by 15% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Atturra's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Atturra's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Atturra has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 345% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained over the same period. And at a glance the 42% gain in profit over the last year impresses. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 14% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Atturra shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Atturra's Profit Performance

Each Atturra share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Atturra's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 14% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Atturra at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Atturra and you'll want to know about it.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Atturra's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.