Autosports Group Limited

CHIA:ASG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$410.9m

Autosports Group Valuation

Is ASG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASG (A$2.02) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$1.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASG is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASG?

Key metric: As ASG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ASG. This is calculated by dividing ASG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ASG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.8x
EarningsAU$60.87m
Market CapAU$410.95m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.6x
PWR Peter Warren Automotive Holdings
8.4x4.5%AU$301.9m
MTO MotorCycle Holdings
8.5x9.4%AU$119.6m
APE Eagers Automotive
11.4x1.8%AU$2.9b
ADH Adairs
14.3x13.5%AU$444.9m
ASG Autosports Group
6.8x0.5%AU$410.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (10.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
ASG 6.8xIndustry Avg. 16.8xNo. of Companies3PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ASG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.02
AU$2.63
+30.4%
16.9%AU$3.41AU$2.20n/a6
Nov ’25AU$2.18
AU$2.75
+26.2%
14.7%AU$3.41AU$2.20n/a6
Oct ’25AU$2.20
AU$2.75
+25.1%
14.7%AU$3.41AU$2.20n/a6
Sep ’25AU$2.17
AU$2.75
+26.8%
14.7%AU$3.41AU$2.20n/a6
Aug ’25AU$2.15
AU$3.12
+45.3%
14.1%AU$3.69AU$2.25n/a6
Jul ’25AU$2.08
AU$3.26
+56.6%
6.9%AU$3.69AU$3.05n/a6
Jun ’25AU$2.19
AU$3.27
+49.1%
6.8%AU$3.69AU$3.05n/a6
May ’25AU$2.59
AU$3.26
+25.8%
8.4%AU$3.85AU$3.05n/a6
Apr ’25AU$2.67
AU$3.27
+22.6%
8.0%AU$3.85AU$3.10n/a6
Mar ’25AU$2.31
AU$3.27
+41.8%
8.0%AU$3.85AU$3.10n/a6
Feb ’25AU$2.41
AU$3.33
+38.2%
7.2%AU$3.78AU$3.10n/a6
Jan ’25AU$2.33
AU$3.38
+45.1%
7.9%AU$3.78AU$3.10n/a6
Dec ’24AU$2.31
AU$3.38
+46.3%
7.9%AU$3.78AU$3.10n/a6
Nov ’24AU$2.43
AU$3.42
+40.9%
6.3%AU$3.78AU$3.15AU$2.187
Oct ’24AU$2.49
AU$3.42
+37.5%
6.3%AU$3.78AU$3.15AU$2.207
Sep ’24AU$2.59
AU$3.40
+31.4%
6.5%AU$3.78AU$3.15AU$2.177
Aug ’24AU$2.40
AU$3.14
+30.9%
11.8%AU$3.75AU$2.70AU$2.157
Jul ’24AU$2.02
AU$3.14
+55.6%
11.8%AU$3.75AU$2.70AU$2.087
Jun ’24AU$2.10
AU$3.16
+50.3%
11.4%AU$3.75AU$2.70AU$2.197
May ’24AU$2.33
AU$3.14
+34.9%
12.1%AU$3.75AU$2.60AU$2.597
Apr ’24AU$2.18
AU$3.09
+41.9%
12.5%AU$3.75AU$2.60AU$2.676
Mar ’24AU$2.15
AU$3.06
+42.3%
12.5%AU$3.75AU$2.60AU$2.316
Feb ’24AU$2.13
AU$3.12
+46.3%
14.7%AU$3.81AU$2.30AU$2.416
Jan ’24AU$2.04
AU$3.12
+52.7%
14.7%AU$3.81AU$2.30AU$2.336
Dec ’23AU$2.00
AU$3.06
+53.6%
15.6%AU$3.81AU$2.30AU$2.315
Nov ’23AU$1.93
AU$3.13
+62.5%
11.6%AU$3.62AU$2.50AU$2.435

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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