Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks Possibly Trading Below Their Intrinsic Value By Up To 46.6%

ASX:SHV
Source: Shutterstock

The Australian market showed resilience, edging up slightly despite pressures from significant players like Aristocrat Leisure and Macquarie Group. In such a fluctuating environment, identifying stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value can offer potential opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on discrepancies between market price and fundamental worth.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Smart Parking (ASX:SPZ)A$0.95A$1.7846.6%
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)A$7.47A$13.3243.9%
Austal (ASX:ASB)A$5.17A$9.2844.3%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$17.89A$34.2547.8%
SciDev (ASX:SDV)A$0.365A$0.6846.4%
Polymetals Resources (ASX:POL)A$0.815A$1.5146.1%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$3.80A$6.7043.3%
Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR)A$10.81A$20.7948%
PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH)A$1.095A$2.0847.4%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$2.48A$4.5245.1%

Click here to see the full list of 39 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's uncover some gems from our specialized screener.

Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)

Overview: Nick Scali Limited, with a market cap of A$1.61 billion, is involved in sourcing and retailing household furniture and related accessories across Australia, the United Kingdom, and New Zealand.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from the retailing of furniture, amounting to A$492.63 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.6%

Nick Scali is trading at A$18.82, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$27.91, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company's earnings are forecast to grow at 12.3% per year, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 11.7%. While revenue growth is slower than desired at 8.5%, it still surpasses the market average of 5.5%. Recent executive changes include a new CFO appointment to support strategic financial initiatives.

ASX:NCK Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:NCK Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Select Harvests (ASX:SHV)

Overview: Select Harvests Limited is an Australian company involved in the cultivation, processing, packaging, and sale of almonds and their by-products with a market capitalization of A$707.70 million.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from its almond segment, which generated A$337.29 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.2%

Select Harvests is trading at A$4.98, slightly below its estimated fair value of A$5.61, suggesting it might be undervalued based on cash flows. The company's earnings are expected to grow significantly at 35.6% annually, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate of 11.7%. Despite recent shareholder dilution and large one-off items affecting results, Select Harvests became profitable this year with revenue forecasted to outpace the market's average growth rate.

ASX:SHV Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:SHV Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Smart Parking (ASX:SPZ)

Overview: Smart Parking Limited designs, develops, and manages parking management solutions across New Zealand, Australia, Germany, and the United Kingdom with a market cap of A$386.77 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include A$5.30 million from the Technology Division, A$3.69 million from Parking Management in Germany, A$0.07 million from Australia, A$5.87 million from New Zealand, and A$47.58 million from the United Kingdom.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 46.6%

Smart Parking is trading at A$0.95, below its estimated fair value of A$1.78, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent shareholder dilution, earnings are projected to grow significantly at 34.1% annually, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 11.7%. Recent index inclusions and a completed equity offering raising A$45 million may enhance visibility and financial flexibility as revenue is forecasted to grow rapidly compared to the broader market.

ASX:SPZ Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:SPZ Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Next Steps

Ready To Venture Into Other Investment Styles?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

If you're looking to trade Select Harvests, open an account with the lowest-cost platform trusted by professionals, Interactive Brokers.

With clients in over 200 countries and territories, and access to 160 markets, IBKR lets you trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds from a single integrated account.

Enjoy no hidden fees, no account minimums, and FX conversion rates as low as 0.03%, far better than what most brokers offer.

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com