Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At Discounts Of Up To 48.7%

ASX:NCK
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After a challenging period in Week 11, the Australian market is poised for a rebound, fueled by Wall Street's significant rally and China's new stimulus measures aimed at boosting consumption. In this environment, identifying undervalued stocks can be particularly rewarding as investors seek opportunities that may benefit from improving market conditions and economic stimuli.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Acrow (ASX:ACF)A$1.03A$2.0048.5%
Domino's Pizza Enterprises (ASX:DMP)A$26.81A$52.2748.7%
Nido Education (ASX:NDO)A$0.88A$1.6245.8%
Capricorn Metals (ASX:CMM)A$8.22A$15.0045.2%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$16.34A$31.9148.8%
SciDev (ASX:SDV)A$0.445A$0.8245.4%
Polymetals Resources (ASX:POL)A$0.84A$1.6849.9%
ReadyTech Holdings (ASX:RDY)A$2.68A$5.1347.8%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$2.09A$3.7444.1%
Adriatic Metals (ASX:ADT)A$4.46A$8.1145%

Click here to see the full list of 43 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises (ASX:DMP)

Overview: Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited operates retail food outlets and has a market cap of A$2.48 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily through its restaurant operations, amounting to A$2.30 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.7%

Domino's Pizza Enterprises is trading at A$26.81, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$52.27, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent challenges with a net loss of A$22.17 million for the half-year ended December 2024 and high debt levels, earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 43.3% annually over the next three years, outpacing the broader Australian market growth rate of 12.2%.

ASX:DMP Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025
ASX:DMP Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025

Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)

Overview: Nick Scali Limited, with a market cap of A$1.34 billion, is involved in sourcing and retailing household furniture and related accessories across Australia, the United Kingdom, and New Zealand.

Operations: The company's revenue comes primarily from the retailing of furniture, amounting to A$492.63 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 43.5%

Nick Scali is trading at A$15.69, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$27.77, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are forecast to grow 12.3% annually, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 12.2%. Recent earnings show sales increased to A$251.07 million from A$226.63 million year-over-year, though net income decreased to A$30.04 million from A$43.01 million, and dividends were reduced from last year’s payout.

ASX:NCK Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025
ASX:NCK Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR)

Overview: Sandfire Resources Limited is a mining company focused on the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral tenements and projects, with a market capitalization of A$5.07 billion.

Operations: Sandfire Resources Limited generates revenue primarily from its MATSA Copper Operations ($604.43 million), Motheo Copper Project ($482.04 million), and Degrussa Copper Operations ($2.89 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 41.6%

Sandfire Resources, trading at A$11.06, is notably undervalued with an estimated fair value of A$18.95. The company's earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 32% annually, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate of 12.2%. Recent results for the half-year ended December 31, 2024, show sales increased to US$572.26 million from US$417.94 million year-over-year and net income reached US$51.5 million from a previous net loss of US$53.14 million.

ASX:SFR Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025
ASX:SFR Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:NCK

Nick Scali

Engages in sourcing and retailing of household furniture and related accessories in Australia, the United Kingdom, and New Zealand.

Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.

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