Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Lovisa Holdings Limited (ASX:LOV) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Lovisa Holdings
What Is Lovisa Holdings's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of January 2023, Lovisa Holdings had AU$26.0m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has AU$50.0m in cash, leading to a AU$24.0m net cash position.
A Look At Lovisa Holdings' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Lovisa Holdings had liabilities of AU$161.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$214.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$50.0m as well as receivables valued at AU$22.8m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$303.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Lovisa Holdings shares are worth a total of AU$2.38b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lovisa Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Lovisa Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 72%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Lovisa Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Lovisa Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last two years, Lovisa Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
Although Lovisa Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of AU$24.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 105% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in AU$98m. So is Lovisa Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Lovisa Holdings that you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:LOV
Lovisa Holdings
Engages in the retail sale of fashion jewelry and accessories.
Solid track record with reasonable growth potential.