Loading...
KGN logo

Kogan.com LtdASX:KGN Stock Report

Market Cap AU$384.7m
Share Price
AU$4.01
AU$9.78
59.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-0.5%
7D-3.6%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Kogan.com Ltd

ASX:KGN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$384.7m

Kogan.com (KGN) Stock Overview

Operates as an online retailer in Australia. More details

KGN fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends2/6

KGN Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 19 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Kogan.com Ltd Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Kogan.com
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$4.01
52 Week HighAU$4.29
52 Week LowAU$2.88
Beta1.99
1 Month Change11.70%
3 Month Change2.30%
1 Year Change-0.50%
3 Year Change-8.03%
5 Year Change-62.84%
Change since IPO167.33%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 07

KGN: Share Buyback Will Support Future Returns At Reset Fair Value

Analysts have reset their price target for Kogan.com to A$9.00, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, which collectively indicate a revised view of the stock's risk and earnings profile. What's in the News The Board of Directors of Kogan.com Ltd approved a share buyback plan on April 24, 2026.
Narrative Update May 12

Kogan.com will ride high on a comfortable 8% profit margin despite global inflation and supply issues

Increased medium term inflation, alongside global supply chain challenges and geopolitical uncertainty will constrain the margins of consumer retail businesses. Kogan would be wise to double down on its current approach of targeting higher margin opportunities, even if that leads to reduced market share and slower revenue growth.
Narrative Update Apr 28

KGN: Buyback And Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Future Share Returns

Analysts have fine tuned their assumptions on Kogan.com, keeping the fair value estimate steady at A$9.00 while adjusting inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan for Kogan.com Ltd on April 24, 2026, signalling an intention to return capital to shareholders over time (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 10

KGN: Rising Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Kogan.com to A$9.00, reflecting updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E profile, while keeping fair value unchanged at A$9.00. What's in the News Kogan.com board has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per ordinary share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with A$0.07, fully franked, for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as a 14.3% uplift on the prior comparable period (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 27

KGN: Higher Dividend And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares

Analysts have reaffirmed their A$ price target for Kogan.com at A$9.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples while maintaining the same headline valuation level. What's in the News Kogan.com has announced a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, with a record date of March 13, 2026, ex date of March 12, 2026, and payment date of April 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 10

KGN: Higher Dividend Will Mask Compressed Future Earnings Multiple Risk

Analysts have maintained their price target on Kogan.com at A$3.30, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board of Kogan.com Ltd has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of 8.0 cents per Ordinary Share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with 7.0 cents for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as up 14.3% on the prior corresponding period (Key Developments).

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 07

KGN: Share Buyback Will Support Future Returns At Reset Fair Value

Analysts have reset their price target for Kogan.com to A$9.00, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, which collectively indicate a revised view of the stock's risk and earnings profile. What's in the News The Board of Directors of Kogan.com Ltd approved a share buyback plan on April 24, 2026.
Narrative Update May 12

Kogan.com will ride high on a comfortable 8% profit margin despite global inflation and supply issues

Increased medium term inflation, alongside global supply chain challenges and geopolitical uncertainty will constrain the margins of consumer retail businesses. Kogan would be wise to double down on its current approach of targeting higher margin opportunities, even if that leads to reduced market share and slower revenue growth.
Narrative Update Apr 28

KGN: Buyback And Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Future Share Returns

Analysts have fine tuned their assumptions on Kogan.com, keeping the fair value estimate steady at A$9.00 while adjusting inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan for Kogan.com Ltd on April 24, 2026, signalling an intention to return capital to shareholders over time (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 10

KGN: Rising Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Kogan.com to A$9.00, reflecting updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E profile, while keeping fair value unchanged at A$9.00. What's in the News Kogan.com board has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per ordinary share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with A$0.07, fully franked, for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as a 14.3% uplift on the prior comparable period (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 27

KGN: Higher Dividend And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares

Analysts have reaffirmed their A$ price target for Kogan.com at A$9.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples while maintaining the same headline valuation level. What's in the News Kogan.com has announced a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, with a record date of March 13, 2026, ex date of March 12, 2026, and payment date of April 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 10

KGN: Higher Dividend Will Mask Compressed Future Earnings Multiple Risk

Analysts have maintained their price target on Kogan.com at A$3.30, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board of Kogan.com Ltd has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of 8.0 cents per Ordinary Share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with 7.0 cents for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as up 14.3% on the prior corresponding period (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 23

KGN: Steady Fair Value And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares

Analysts have maintained their A$9.00 price target for Kogan.com, citing only small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a slightly lower future P/E multiple in their valuation work. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$9.00 per share is unchanged, with no adjustment to the central valuation outcome.
Narrative Update Feb 09

KGN: Steady Fair Value And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares

Narrative Update on Kogan.com Analyst Price Target Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Kogan.com steady at A$9.00. Small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions have resulted in this unchanged target.
Analysis Article Feb 03

Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Kogan.com fair value estimate is AU$6.91 Current share price...
Narrative Update Jan 25

KGN: Higher Profit Margins And Lower Risk Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Shares

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on Kogan.com to account for a modestly reduced future P/E assumption and minor changes to the discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin forecasts, while maintaining their fair value estimate at A$9.00. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The fair value estimate is unchanged at A$9.00 per share.
Narrative Update Jan 11

KGN: Higher Profit Margins And Stable Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Shares

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Kogan.com to A$9.00 from A$9.00, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while keeping their overall valuation view unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at A$9.00 per share.
Narrative Update Dec 26

KGN: Higher Profit Margins Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance

Analysts have nudged their price target on Kogan.com higher to align more closely with an updated fair value estimate of A$9.00 per share, citing expectations of slightly stronger profit margins that will offset modestly softer revenue growth and a lower future price to earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: unchanged at A$9.00 per share, with higher margin assumptions offsetting slightly softer growth and a lower future multiple.
Narrative Update Dec 12

KGN: Share Buyback Will Support EPS As Margins Face Modest Pressures

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Kogan.com to about $3.30 from roughly $4.05. This reflects slightly higher perceived risk, slower expected revenue growth and modestly softer profit margins, even as future valuation multiples edge up.
User avatar
New Narrative Mar 15

Mobile App Expansion And Loyalty Program Enhancements Expected To Strengthen Customer Engagement

Expanding Kogan Marketplace and Mighty Ape initiatives drives customer engagement and scalability, supporting future revenue and earnings growth.
Analysis Article Feb 03

Not Many Are Piling Into Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%

Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Analysis Article Dec 18

Optimistic Investors Push Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month...
Analysis Article Apr 25

Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 36% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 36% after a relatively good period beforehand...
Analysis Article Apr 16

Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article Feb 26

What Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 39% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Despite an already strong run, Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 39% in the last...
Analysis Article Jan 25

Should You Investigate Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) At AU$5.44?

Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 27% in...
Analysis Article Nov 16

Here's Why It's Unlikely That Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) CEO Will See A Pay Rise This Year

Key Insights Kogan.com will host its Annual General Meeting on 22nd of November CEO Ruslan Kogan's total compensation...
Analysis Article Jun 19

Are Investors Undervaluing Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) By 27%?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Kogan.com fair value estimate is AU$6.69 Kogan.com's AU$4.91...
Analysis Article Feb 28

Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) After Its Latest Results

As you might know, Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) last week released its latest half-year, and things did not turn out so...
Analysis Article Jan 05

Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 90% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Kogan.com's estimated fair value is AU$7.4 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...
Analysis Article Nov 17

It Looks Like Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) CEO May Expect Their Salary To Be Put Under The Microscope

The results at Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) have been quite disappointing recently and CEO Ruslan Kogan bears some...
Analysis Article Oct 31

Analysts Just Shaved Their Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Forecasts Dramatically

Today is shaping up negative for Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial...
Analysis Article Feb 26

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
Analysis Article Dec 29

An Intrinsic Calculation For Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued

Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Kogan.com Ltd...
Analysis Article Oct 13

Is Kogan.com (ASX:KGN) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Sep 23

Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...

Shareholder Returns

KGNAU Multiline RetailAU Market
7D-3.6%1.1%-1.6%
1Y-0.5%-7.0%-0.4%

Return vs Industry: KGN exceeded the Australian Multiline Retail industry which returned -7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: KGN matched the Australian Market which returned -0.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is KGN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
KGN volatility
KGN Average Weekly Movement7.4%
Multiline Retail Industry Average Movement5.5%
Market Average Movement10.1%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market17.2%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market4.0%

Stable Share Price: KGN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: KGN's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2006n/aRuslan Koganwww.kogancorporate.com

Kogan.com Ltd operates as an online retailer in Australia. The company offers various brands across a range of categories, including consumer electronics, appliances, homewares, hardware, toys, and others, as well as furniture, gaming, and other entertainment products; and owns and operates private label brands. It also provides pre-paid mobile phone plans.

Kogan.com Ltd Fundamentals Summary

How do Kogan.com's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
KGN fundamental statistics
Market capAU$384.72m
Earnings (TTM)-AU$41.55m
Revenue (TTM)AU$502.97m
0.8x
P/S Ratio
-9.3x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
KGN income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$502.97m
Cost of RevenueAU$304.83m
Gross ProfitAU$198.14m
Other ExpensesAU$239.69m
Earnings-AU$41.55m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.43
Gross Margin39.39%
Net Profit Margin-8.26%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did KGN perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.7%
Current Dividend Yield
-36%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 20:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Kogan.com Ltd is covered by 8 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Chamithri RatnapalaBell Potter
Ivana YeBofA Global Research
Owen HumphriesCanaccord Genuity