Stock Analysis

Bapcor's (ASX:BAP) Dividend Will Be Increased To A$0.115

The board of Bapcor Limited (ASX:BAP) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of A$0.115 on the 16th of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the annual payment to 3.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

See our latest analysis for Bapcor

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Bapcor's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last dividend, Bapcor is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 157% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 31.9%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 49% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
ASX:BAP Historic Dividend August 23rd 2022

Bapcor Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 8 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.08 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.215. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% a year over that time. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Bapcor has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 13% per annum. The lack of cash flows does make us a bit cautious though, especially when it comes to the future of the dividend.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Bapcor's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think Bapcor is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Bapcor that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bapcor might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:BAP

Bapcor

Supplies vehicle parts, accessories, automotive equipment, and services and solutions in Australia, New Zealand, and Thailand.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

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