Stock Analysis

Hudson Investment Group's (ASX:HGL) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

ASX:HGL
Source: Shutterstock

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Hudson Investment Group Limited's (ASX:HGL) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Hudson Investment Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:HGL Earnings and Revenue History September 11th 2022

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

For anyone who wants to understand Hudson Investment Group's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from AU$2.2m worth of unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Hudson Investment Group had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hudson Investment Group.

Our Take On Hudson Investment Group's Profit Performance

As previously mentioned, Hudson Investment Group's large boost from unusual items won't be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Hudson Investment Group's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs (2 are a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Hudson Investment Group.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hudson Investment Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hudson Investment Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.