Growthpoint Properties Australia

ASX:GOZ Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.9b

Growthpoint Properties Australia Valuation

Is GOZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOZ (A$2.48) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$2.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOZ is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOZ?

Key metric: As GOZ is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GOZ. This is calculated by dividing GOZ's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GOZ's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.8x
SalesAU$321.70m
Market CapAU$1.89b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GOZ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GOZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.7x
CNI Centuria Capital Group
4.6x0.5%AU$1.5b
MGR Mirvac Group
2.5x-44.9%AU$7.7b
GPT GPT Group
9x1.8%AU$8.6b
CLW Charter Hall Long WALE REIT
18.6x15.7%AU$2.7b
GOZ Growthpoint Properties Australia
5.8x5.0%AU$1.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GOZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GOZ's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global REITs Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GOZ 5.8xIndustry Avg. 6.4xNo. of Companies32PS048121620+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GOZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (6.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOZ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOZ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.8x
Fair PS Ratio11.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GOZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GOZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.48
AU$2.96
+19.4%
16.3%AU$3.80AU$2.35n/a6
Dec ’25AU$2.58
AU$2.96
+14.8%
16.3%AU$3.80AU$2.35n/a6
Nov ’25AU$2.62
AU$2.96
+13.0%
16.3%AU$3.80AU$2.35n/a6
Oct ’25AU$2.70
AU$2.92
+8.1%
16.8%AU$3.80AU$2.35n/a6
Sep ’25AU$2.49
AU$2.91
+16.8%
15.6%AU$3.80AU$2.35n/a7
Aug ’25AU$2.30
AU$2.89
+25.5%
17.3%AU$3.80AU$2.24n/a7
Jul ’25AU$2.21
AU$2.92
+32.3%
15.7%AU$3.80AU$2.50n/a7
Jun ’25AU$2.37
AU$2.92
+23.4%
15.7%AU$3.80AU$2.50n/a7
May ’25AU$2.32
AU$2.92
+26.0%
15.7%AU$3.80AU$2.50n/a7
Apr ’25AU$2.54
AU$2.92
+15.1%
15.7%AU$3.80AU$2.50n/a7
Mar ’25AU$2.25
AU$2.92
+30.0%
15.7%AU$3.80AU$2.50n/a7
Feb ’25AU$2.39
AU$2.94
+23.2%
16.7%AU$3.80AU$2.50n/a6
Jan ’25AU$2.33
AU$2.91
+24.8%
18.6%AU$3.80AU$2.30n/a6
Dec ’24AU$2.33
AU$2.97
+27.3%
17.5%AU$3.80AU$2.30AU$2.587
Nov ’24AU$2.05
AU$2.97
+44.7%
17.5%AU$3.80AU$2.30AU$2.627
Oct ’24AU$2.21
AU$3.26
+47.6%
11.4%AU$3.80AU$2.80AU$2.707
Sep ’24AU$2.45
AU$3.26
+33.1%
11.4%AU$3.80AU$2.80AU$2.497
Aug ’24AU$2.85
AU$3.52
+23.4%
8.6%AU$4.05AU$3.20AU$2.307
Jul ’24AU$2.79
AU$3.61
+29.3%
6.1%AU$4.05AU$3.32AU$2.218
Jun ’24AU$3.10
AU$3.67
+18.3%
5.8%AU$4.05AU$3.32AU$2.378
May ’24AU$3.29
AU$3.74
+13.5%
4.9%AU$4.05AU$3.58AU$2.326
Apr ’24AU$3.04
AU$3.72
+22.4%
5.8%AU$4.05AU$3.50AU$2.546
Mar ’24AU$3.16
AU$3.75
+18.7%
4.9%AU$4.05AU$3.58AU$2.257
Feb ’24AU$3.30
AU$3.69
+11.9%
6.0%AU$4.02AU$3.34AU$2.397
Jan ’24AU$2.98
AU$3.70
+24.3%
5.5%AU$4.02AU$3.45AU$2.337
Dec ’23AU$3.25
AU$3.76
+15.8%
5.8%AU$4.07AU$3.45AU$2.337

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 09:57
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Growthpoint Properties Australia is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited