Centuria Capital Group Valuation

Is CNI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CNI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CNI (A$1.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CNI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CNI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.9x
PEG Ratio6.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CNI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CNI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.5x
APZ Aspen Group
6.8x12.5%AU$344.5m
CHC Charter Hall Group
89.9x21.2%AU$5.8b
SGP Stockland
45.2x22.6%AU$10.7b
APW Aims Property Securities Fund
4xn/aAU$67.7m
CNI Centuria Capital Group
136x21.4%AU$1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (136x) compared to the peer average (36.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CNI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (136x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CNI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CNI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio136x
Fair PE Ratio39.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CNI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (136x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CNI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.85
AU$1.82
-1.9%
10.0%AU$2.19AU$1.53n/a11
May ’25AU$1.71
AU$1.82
+6.1%
10.0%AU$2.19AU$1.53n/a11
Apr ’25AU$1.75
AU$1.80
+2.9%
9.8%AU$2.19AU$1.53n/a11
Mar ’25AU$1.66
AU$1.80
+8.5%
9.8%AU$2.19AU$1.53n/a11
Feb ’25AU$1.66
AU$1.69
+2.1%
7.9%AU$1.94AU$1.47n/a10
Jan ’25AU$1.76
AU$1.62
-7.8%
9.4%AU$1.94AU$1.45n/a10
Dec ’24AU$1.44
AU$1.67
+16.2%
12.6%AU$2.15AU$1.45n/a11
Nov ’24AU$1.18
AU$1.68
+42.9%
12.9%AU$2.15AU$1.45n/a10
Oct ’24AU$1.36
AU$1.73
+27.1%
12.3%AU$2.15AU$1.45n/a10
Sep ’24AU$1.47
AU$1.73
+17.8%
13.0%AU$2.15AU$1.45n/a9
Aug ’24AU$1.69
AU$1.91
+13.6%
10.7%AU$2.25AU$1.60n/a9
Jul ’24AU$1.65
AU$2.04
+23.8%
11.4%AU$2.45AU$1.70n/a9
Jun ’24AU$1.76
AU$2.13
+21.1%
12.4%AU$2.57AU$1.79n/a8
May ’24AU$1.72
AU$2.12
+23.3%
13.2%AU$2.57AU$1.79AU$1.717
Apr ’24AU$1.51
AU$2.15
+42.5%
11.8%AU$2.57AU$1.85AU$1.757
Mar ’24AU$1.76
AU$2.16
+23.0%
11.4%AU$2.57AU$1.89AU$1.667
Feb ’24AU$1.87
AU$2.26
+20.7%
14.6%AU$2.71AU$1.86AU$1.667
Jan ’24AU$1.71
AU$2.24
+31.2%
14.1%AU$2.71AU$1.86AU$1.768
Dec ’23AU$1.85
AU$2.24
+20.9%
14.1%AU$2.71AU$1.86AU$1.448
Nov ’23AU$1.75
AU$2.40
+36.9%
9.8%AU$2.71AU$2.00AU$1.188
Oct ’23AU$1.54
AU$2.54
+65.2%
17.8%AU$3.65AU$2.00AU$1.369
Sep ’23AU$1.76
AU$2.54
+44.1%
17.8%AU$3.65AU$2.00AU$1.479
Aug ’23AU$2.07
AU$2.83
+36.9%
20.7%AU$3.90AU$2.00AU$1.699
Jul ’23AU$1.91
AU$2.88
+51.4%
19.6%AU$3.90AU$2.00AU$1.659
Jun ’23AU$2.24
AU$3.38
+51.1%
9.7%AU$3.90AU$2.80AU$1.769
May ’23AU$2.80
AU$3.52
+25.9%
6.4%AU$3.90AU$3.14AU$1.729

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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