We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

GPT Group Valuation

Is GPT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GPT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue17.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA30.8x
PEG Ratio-5.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GPT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GPT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.7x
MGR Mirvac Group
10.5x12.4%AU$9.5b
SGP Stockland
6.8x-15.9%AU$9.7b
CHC Charter Hall Group
7.7x-6.8%AU$7.0b
GOZ Growthpoint Properties Australia
5.8x-15.4%AU$2.6b
GPT GPT Group
7.5x-1.4%AU$8.9b


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GPT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.5%
n/an/an/a


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GPT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GPT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GPT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GPT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GPT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.66
AU$4.77
+2.5%
6.2%AU$5.40AU$4.12n/a14
Jan ’24AU$4.20
AU$4.77
+13.6%
6.6%AU$5.40AU$4.12n/a15
Dec ’23AU$4.50
AU$4.77
+6.0%
6.6%AU$5.40AU$4.12n/a15
Nov ’23AU$4.42
AU$4.84
+9.5%
5.3%AU$5.40AU$4.40n/a15
Oct ’23AU$3.83
AU$4.84
+26.4%
5.3%AU$5.40AU$4.40n/a15
Sep ’23AU$4.12
AU$4.84
+17.4%
5.3%AU$5.40AU$4.40n/a15
Aug ’23AU$4.53
AU$4.94
+9.1%
9.0%AU$6.11AU$4.30n/a15
Jul ’23AU$4.30
AU$5.07
+18.0%
7.8%AU$6.11AU$4.30n/a15
Jun ’23AU$4.83
AU$5.41
+12.1%
5.8%AU$6.11AU$4.90n/a15
May ’23AU$5.09
AU$5.48
+7.7%
5.0%AU$6.11AU$4.90n/a15
Apr ’23AU$5.23
AU$5.46
+4.4%
5.9%AU$6.11AU$4.60n/a15
Mar ’23AU$4.95
AU$5.47
+10.6%
6.0%AU$6.11AU$4.60n/a15
Feb ’23AU$4.97
AU$5.40
+8.6%
5.9%AU$6.10AU$4.60AU$4.6113
Jan ’23AU$5.42
AU$5.36
-1.2%
5.4%AU$6.10AU$4.90AU$4.2012
Dec ’22AU$5.16
AU$5.25
+1.8%
3.0%AU$5.44AU$4.90AU$4.5011
Nov ’22AU$5.20
AU$5.17
-0.6%
3.8%AU$5.40AU$4.80AU$4.4211
Oct ’22AU$4.93
AU$5.05
+2.4%
3.9%AU$5.40AU$4.80AU$3.8311
Sep ’22AU$4.88
AU$5.06
+3.6%
4.1%AU$5.40AU$4.80AU$4.1211
Aug ’22AU$4.67
AU$4.94
+5.7%
3.9%AU$5.25AU$4.70AU$4.5311
Jul ’22AU$4.80
AU$4.84
+0.9%
5.3%AU$5.25AU$4.37AU$4.3011
Jun ’22AU$4.61
AU$4.87
+5.5%
5.3%AU$5.25AU$4.37AU$4.8312
May ’22AU$4.62
AU$4.87
+5.3%
5.3%AU$5.25AU$4.37AU$5.0912
Apr ’22AU$4.60
AU$4.78
+4.0%
6.0%AU$5.37AU$4.37AU$5.2312
Mar ’22AU$4.37
AU$4.78
+9.4%
6.0%AU$5.37AU$4.37AU$4.9512
Feb ’22AU$4.28
AU$4.73
+10.5%
6.1%AU$5.32AU$4.32AU$4.9711


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