Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Lendlease Group's (ASX:LLC) Revenues Yet

ASX:LLC
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Lendlease Group (ASX:LLC) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Real Estate companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 4.3x and even P/S above 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Lendlease Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LLC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 8th 2024

How Lendlease Group Has Been Performing

Recent revenue growth for Lendlease Group has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Lendlease Group will be hoping that this isn't the case.

Keen to find out how analysts think Lendlease Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Lendlease Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Lendlease Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has definitely eluded the company recently.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 9.3% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.4% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that Lendlease Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's clear to see that Lendlease Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Lendlease Group's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Lendlease Group you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lendlease Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.