Lifestyle Communities (ASX:LIC) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Lifestyle Communities Limited (ASX:LIC) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Lifestyle Communities's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lifestyle Communities had debt of AU$357.0m at the end of December 2024, a reduction from AU$492.0m over a year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

How Healthy Is Lifestyle Communities' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lifestyle Communities had liabilities of AU$169.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$560.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$1.50m in cash and AU$2.10m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$726.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of AU$948.9m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Lifestyle Communities' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

See our latest analysis for Lifestyle Communities

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Lifestyle Communities's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 12.1 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 7.9 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Our best guess is that the company does indeed have significant debt obligations. Unfortunately, Lifestyle Communities's EBIT flopped 15% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lifestyle Communities can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Lifestyle Communities saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Lifestyle Communities's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Lifestyle Communities's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Lifestyle Communities (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.