Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Vitura Health Limited's (ASX:VIT) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 37%

ASX:VIT
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Vitura Health Limited (ASX:VIT) share price has dived 37% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 70% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Vitura Health's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 37x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

For example, consider that Vitura Health's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Vitura Health

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:VIT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 27th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Vitura Health, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Vitura Health?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Vitura Health would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 9.0%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why Vitura Health is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Vitura Health's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Vitura Health maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Vitura Health is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Vitura Health, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.