Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Medical Developments International Limited (ASX:MVP) Following 27% Share Price Slump

ASX:MVP
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Medical Developments International Limited (ASX:MVP) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 45% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Medical Developments International may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 4.7x and even P/S higher than 20x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Medical Developments International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:MVP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024

How Medical Developments International Has Been Performing

Medical Developments International could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Medical Developments International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Medical Developments International's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 28% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 39% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% each year during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Medical Developments International's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Medical Developments International's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've seen that Medical Developments International currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Medical Developments International you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Medical Developments International's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Medical Developments International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.